The Future Course Of Strict Cause And Effect-a View On Determinism And Non-determinism

The motion of physical world is not random. So the man can summarize it into general rules by some basic concepts. Of them, cause and effect is one of the most basic relations. And Man always look upon it as important thing. Especially the latest 100 years, the cause and effect becomes a hot topic of conversation in the philosophy circles and science circles. This problem influences us to understand some basic relations about the whole world. About the philosophy and the historical materialism. So it is a very impontant and urgent problem before us.The ancient Greek philosophy gave us 3 traditions: atomology, axiomatic theory and four-factor theory. Of course the 3 traditions made the descendents understand the problem more easily. In some way, all the philosophists' viewpoints about cause and effect in modern times compromise those 3 traditions. Which belong to the ancient Greek philosophists. The Abdera school thought the necessity deeply, and they thought the whole world were necessary. But Lucretius didn't think so, and Aristotle put forward four-factor theory and two different theories about cause and effect in the field of above moon and under moon. As the development of the experiment science, Galiue and Newton regarded the cause and effect as equations, they would look for the cause from maths. Then Spinoza, Thomas Hobbes raised their viewpoints that the world is necessary. However David Hume thought that the base of the cause and effect is the man's faith. After the establishment of the quantum mechanics, Bohor and Heisenberg thought that the cause and effect ended. Because of this, Einstein had a heated debate with them. In 20C 50' the realist of cause and effect raised their viewpoints.In Newton mechanics, once we know the initial conditions and the equation about the object, we can predict their state in any time. So Laplace's determinism was raised. In the microworld the Schrodinger wave equation can describe the motion of the microparticles in the closed system. But the statistical consequence is drawed into quantum mechanics. We think this preinstall premise should be proved before it is done. In added, the infinite time about wave packet reduction can not be defined. The fact that small discrepancy leads to a great error in chaos theory rises because that the initial value is very sensitive to the system and the memory space in the computer is limited. So the values become invisible through some iteratives. Because of this, We think the quantummechanics and the chaos don't deny the predictation of the world. Then we can conclude that the doctrine of Laplace is reasonable in some way. Here I should explain that I think the strict cause and effect is reasonable.Everything in the cosmosphere has its necessity and occasionally. However the principal contradictions, the secondary ones, the inner or the outer ones, all have their causes, the cosmosphere is a big chain of causation. But I don't think that the whole world is determined. The freedom of the world is given by the infinity of the cosmosphere. The occasional factors rise by the limitless of the space and the prehistory . The fairy of Laplace may know all the world, but the human being, because the being is a limit being.Every thing has its cause. The origination of this kind of knowledge is from the practice of Man through thousands of years. Though the man can't prove the theory of costant ordor about cosmosphere, the concept of cause and effect gives us a lot of benefits. It makes us explore the cosmosphere with high faith.