Research On The Impact Of Energy Transition On The Quality Of Economic Growth And Countermeasures

The Chinese economy is facing increasing "energy dependence".The long-term energy structure dominated by fossil energy and inefficient energy utilization has posed severe challenges to the sustainable development of the economy and society.The Chinese government publicly pledged to the international community to strive to achieve "carbon peak" by 2030 and "carbon neutrality" by 2060.In the domestic economic and social development,the Chinese government is also constantly deepening the implementation of the concept of sustainable energy development.The report of the 19 th National Congress of the Communist Party of China raised the energy transition to the height of the national development strategy.In the 14 th Five-Year Plan,the strategic requirement of promoting clean,low-carbon,safe and efficient use of energy is also clearly set out,which demonstrates the determination of the highlevel government to promote energy regeneration.Energy transition development,especially energy transition,has become an important research topic for China to achieve high-quality economic growth.On the basis of the relevant research review at home and abroad,this study explores the specific path of China’s energy transformation through the qualitative grounded theory analysis method according to the theories of economic growth,sustainable development and externality.The impact of energy transition on the quality of economic growth is examined by some econometric methods such as threshold regression analysis method,spatial econometric analysis method,and panel regression model.Moreover,the dissertation uses planning modeling and simulation analysis methods to conduct expected research on the impact of energy transition on the quality of economic growth.According to the research conclusions,this study puts forward some countermeasures about energy transformation to promote the quality of economic growth.Firstly,combined with domestic and foreign research,the concept of energy transition and economic growth quality was defined.Based on qualitatively grounded theoretical research methods,the thesis explored the specific paths of China’s energy transition,including energy structure transition aimed at promoting energy structure adjustment,energy technology transition aimed at promoting technological innovation,and energy policy transition aimed at providing institutional guarantees.The study incorporated the ecological footprint into the comprehensive evaluation system of economic growth quality,and adopted the super-efficiency SBM model to measure the regional economic growth quality.On this basis,in view of related theories,an overall research framework for the improvement of the quality of economic growth driven by the energy transition has been constructed.Secondly,in accordance with economic growth theory and sustainable development theory,the effect mechanisms of energy structure transformation,energy technology transformation and energy policy transformation on the improvement of economic growth quality were analyzed in detail.Using threshold panel model,the study discussed the non-linear relationship between energy structure transformation and economic growth quality,and the threshold effect of energy consumption intensity on energy structure adjustment and economic growth quality.The impact of energy technology transition on the quality of economic growth was explored through the application of spatial econometric analysis methods.And the study adopted a panel data model to analyze the policy effectiveness and policy timeliness of the impact of energy policy transition on the quality of economic growth.Thirdly,considering the differential impact of energy structure transformation,energy technology transformation and energy policy transformation on the quality of economic growth,the growth of economic growth quality at the national level under the combined effect of three different paths during 2020-2030 and 2030-2050 was respectively predicted through planning modeling and simulation analysis methods.In this way,a more effective energy transition path could be gradually dicovered and identified,so as to provide future energy transition development direction and reference for regions with different development conditions.Finally,according to the research conclusions,based on the goals and requirements of my country’s energy transition and economic growth quality improvement,the paper puts forward countermeasures and suggestions for energy transition to promote the improvement of economic growth quality from three aspects,that is,to promote the adjustment of energy structure,to accelerate the innovation of energy technology and to improve the guarantee of energy policy.