Trade Influence Factors And Industrial Upgrading Of China's Rosin

Since the 1960 s,the international trade field there is a new phenomenon,most trade take place between countries with similar factor endowments,and concentrated in the same industry,this new form of trade scholars called intra-industry trade.Actively developing intra-industry trade can not only reduce the cost of industrial structure adjustment,but also avoid the deterioration of trade conditions,ease trade frictions and realize the sustainable development of foreign trade.Rosin industry after China's accession to theWTO,facing the challenge of trade liberalization,the development of intra-industry trade and rosin industry upgrading rosin realistic choice for the sustainable development of foreign trade in China.How the status quo of China's rosin industry trade,its development depends on what kind of factor,the impact to the national economy,and how to upgrade industry,etc.,the author was based on the answers to these questions,the thesis research direction is determined.This paper revealed the China's rosin intra-industry in 2001-2015 in import and export trade development and the change trend,combining the theory of intra-industry trade index model,using the residual analysis,multiple linear regression mathematical model and statistical methods,calculated the intra-industry trade of import and export data index through the period2001-2015.This paper judged the rosin type of intra-industry trade in China,and evaluated the types of rosin intra-industry trade in China,analyzed the rosin intra-industry trade development characteristic and the relation with the main trade partners of China,respectively from the national level and industry level to clarify the influence factors of the China's rosin intra-industry trade.According to different trade partners and the relationship between the size of the influencing factors,pointed out the China's rosin direct and indirect economic effect of intra-industry trade.This paper studied and demonstrated the following issues:China's rosin characteristics and development trend.Trade scale of China's rosin ranks first in the world,which has a large trade surplus,rosin export market showed a diversification development trend.Rosin production enterprise was affected by non-economic scale effect,industry raw material supply chain is disordered,with a small proportion intra-industry trade channels,deep processing of product structure is low,pricing and bargaining power in the international market are weak.From the developing trend of rosin trade,China's rosin industry must adjust trade resources integration and product structure,implementation to multistage processing products from a single product structure system transformation.China's rosin intra-industry trade type measure.China's rosin industry belongs to mixed type of internal trade,intra-industry trade is both exist horizontal and vertical intra-industry trade,and give priority to with vertical.The China's rosin industry should seize the resources endowment of competitive advantage,create the competitive advantage of resources endowment,and change low-cost export competition strategy.The influence factors of China's rosin intra-industry trade analysis.Through the impact on the national level rosin factor analysis of intra-industry trade in China,on the basis of the basic assumptions,chose 7 variables such as,the per capita income disparities,geographic distance,regional economic integration,market scale,openness to trade,trade partners for the host country direct investment,degree of rosin trade imbalance,using panel data regression analysis,reveals the industry level main factors influence and the role of rosin intra-industry trade of China;Through analysis of intra-industry trade to influence China's rosin industry level factors,on the premise of the basic assumptions,chose the degree of product differentiation,economies of scale,foreign direct investment and industrial capital intensity of four variables,using the panel data regression analysis,to reveal the main factors for China's rosin industry level of intra-industry trade influence and role.The economic effects of trade in China's rosin industry include direct economic effects and indirect economic effects.Direct effect mainly refers to economic growth effect,technological innovation effect,industrial transfer effect and employment effect.The indirect effect mainly refers to the human capital effect,the national welfare effect and the consumption effect.There are many links between intra-industry trade and industrial upgrading,which can interact and influence each other.The paper analyzes the industrial upgrading path based on trade in China's rosin industry.Countermeasures to promote the development of China's rosin intra-industry trade.Based on the influence of different factors on China's rosin intra-industry trade,the author suggests proposed by increasing national income,implementing brand strategy and technology strategy to develop forestry,promote forestry enterprise and forestry industrialization and improve the industrial capital intensity,promote regional economic integration,to create a more favorable rosin trade environment of China and other measures to promote the development of China's rosin intra-industry trade.