Research On The Evaluation Of The Coordinated Development Of China's Logistics Industry And Regional Economy

In today's world,the modern logistics industry has become an important booster and source of growth for the global economy and China's economy.Over the years,the historical experience of social and economic development has proved that the logistics industry and the development of regional economy there is a close link between the two influence and constraints.Breaking the regional barriers,is conducive to the great development of the logistics industry,and the development of logistics industry,but also to promote regional synergies.The research shows that there is a congratulation relationship between China's logistics industry and regional economic development,and the logistics industry plays a significant role in promoting the development of regional economy.Especially in recent years with the rapid development of the Internet and e-commerce,the rapid development of logistics industry,of course,its level of development is still at a low level,the role of regional economic promotion is not obvious.Therefore,it is of great theoretical and practical significance to study the coordination and development of logistics industry and regional economy and to promote the development of China's logistics industry and regional integration.This paper first comprehensively combs the relevant literature and basic theories of logistics industry and economic development both at home and abroad,constructs the theoretical framework and evaluation system and method of analysis,and analyzes the coordinated development of logistics industry and regional economy in China.The main achievements of this paper:(1)a more comprehensive combing the domestic and foreign research literature,the core concept of the definition of the relevant theory systematically comb.(2)This paper analyzes the relationship between the logistics industry and the regional economy by using the unit root and the VAR model,and analyzes the spatial distribution characteristics of the logistics industry and the influence of the logistics industry on the regional economy by means of the method of spatial measurement.The analysis can lead to the conclusion that there is a congratulation relationship between China's logistics industry and regional economic development.In addition,the logistics industry plays a significant role in promoting the development of regional economy.(3)This paper analyzes the connotation and characteristics of the logistics industry and the regional economic complex system,and then analyzes the logistics industry and the regional economy from the compound system of the logistics industry and the regional economy.The paper analyzes the connotation and characteristics of the logistics industry and the regional economic complex system by using the basic idea and method of the system theory.Development of the connotation,characteristics of the analysis to ensure the integrity of the theoretical framework.(4)Based on the theory of complex system,the paper puts forward the evaluation index system of logistics industry system from the aspects of logistics investment,logistics output and logistics development scale,namely,three first-level indicators and 10 second-level indicators.Structure,economic benefits,three first-level indicators,15 secondary indicators as a regional economic subsystem evaluation indicators,and coordination degree,development degree for the two dimensions to build the index system,the logistics industry and regional economic coordinated development To carry out evaluation studies.Finally,the models used in the coordination between the logistics industry and the regional economic subsystem,the coordination degree between the systems,the coordination degree of the complex system and the evaluation of the coordinated development are analyzed respectively.(5)China's regional division is divided into eastern,middle,west and northeast regions,using the above-mentioned logistics industry and regional economic coordinated development of the evaluation index system and the use of selected a coordinated development of the calculation method,the four regional logistics industry subsystem And the regional economic sub-system coordination,coordination between the system and the coordinated development of empirical analysis.(6)This paper analyzes the main problems and the countermeasures of the coordinated development of logistics industry and regional economy at the present stage.Through the evaluation of the coordinated development of logistics industry and regional economy,this paper holds that:First,the logistics industry and the regional economy there is a long-term equilibrium relationship,at this stage the coordination of the two poor.Through the use of vector auto-regressive model,congratulation analysis,Granger causality test and other methods,the dynamic relationship between the two system analysis,pointed out that the regional economy and the growth of the logistics industry has shown a stable long-term equilibrium relationship,regional economy The effect of the logistics industry on the regional economy is obvious,but there is lag.From the results of the error correction model estimation and analysis,the interaction between the regional economy and the logistics industry is not very significant,Granger causality test is derived from the opposite of common sense that the regional economy and the logistics industry does not exist in the relationship between each other is not the cause of each other,the reason for this phenomenon may be the logistics industry is a relatively new industry,In addition,the regional economic development is the result of multi-factor comprehensive effect,as well as the current stage of logistics industry and regional economic relations are poor coordination.Second,the logistics industry and the regional economy there is a significant positive correlation,but the logistics industry spatial distribution is not balanced.This paper calculates the global spatial auto-correlation index of 289 prefecture-level cities and above,indicating that the logistics industry has a non-equilibrium phenomenon,the low volume and low value of the total freight volume in the northeastern regions,and the underdevelopment of the logistics industry in the northeast Regional high value and high value agglomeration,the eastern part of the logistics industry is more developed;the central logistics industry spatial agglomeration phenomenon is not significant;western high and low value aggregation,reflecting the logistics industry in the core city agglomeration,and external urban radiation spatial distribution characteristics;SAC,SEM and SAR models were selected,and the influence of logistics industry on regional economy was analyzed by spatial auto-regressive mechanism.It was concluded that there was a significant positive correlation between logistics industry and regional economy.Thirdly,the logistics industry and regional economy in recent years have been rapid development,regional imbalanced development situation has eased,while the logistics industry and regional economy has a strong relevance,but the pace of change is not exactly the same,only two sub System balanced development,the overall system to the best.Through the analysis of the internal coordination degree of the logistics industry system,it can be seen that the imbalance of the development of the logistics industry in our country has eased.The analysis of the coordination degree of the regional economic system can be seen,and the coordination of regional economic coordination is steadily increasing.However,it has pointed out that the logistics industry and the regional economic development.At the same time,it is pointed out that the logistics industry and the regional economic development are not only coordinated,but also from the coordination to the uncoordinated and the uncoordinated to the higher level of coordination.The pace is not exactly the same,the logistics industry development there is regional imbalance phenomenon,only the logistics industry and regional economy two subsystems coordinated development,the overall system can achieve a higher degree of coordination.Fourth,the logistics industry and the regional economy may exist the possibility of false coordination,some areas of high coordination,but the level of development is low,the degree of coordination there is a large regional differences.Through the analysis of the coordination degree between the logistics industry and the regional economic complex system,it is pointed out that there are sometimes inconsistencies within the subsystems of each region,but the result of the calculation between the two shows a very coordinated phenomenon,that is,the coordination of the so-called illusion or low Level of coordination,leading to the development of the degree of evaluation of the need.The analysis of the coordinated development of the logistics industry and the regional economic complex system shows that: First,the degree of development in the same period is often less than the coordination degree,indicating that some areas of logistics industry and regional economic subsystems,although the degree of coordination is high,but the overall level of development is still At the lower level,that is to say that this is a kind of false coordination;the second is the four regions in accordance with the development of China is divided into three echelons,the eastern part of the first echelon,the central and northeast for the second echelon,the west Third echelon.According to the research contents,it points out that the main problems of the coordinated development of China's logistics industry and regional economy are: At the present stage,the development of logistics industry and the spatial distribution are uneven in all regions.Second,the logistics industry started late,Out of its role in promoting the regional economy;third,the logistics industry and the coordinated development of regional economy there are significant differences in regional and so on.The local government departments must abandon the idea of "only GDP",attach great importance to the development of the logistics industry,optimize the regional industrial structure,so as to promote the regional economic development,and promote the regional economic development of the regional economy.Healthy development;continue to take regional development and talent strategy to narrow the regional development gap;In addition,the national economic management departments must vigorously develop the logistics industry at the same time,we must also recognize the regional economy is the result of multi-factor comprehensive effect,simply rely on the logistics industry Development and can not promote regional economic development,also need to pay attention to the development of other industries,to avoid the existence of short barrels,so that the regional economy and other industries coordinated development.The innovation of this paper is as follows: First,the innovation of the research angle,based on the theory and method of the system,analyzes the connotation and characteristics of the logistics industry and the regional economy from the perspective of the compound system.Using the synergism and dissipation Structural theory to explore the development mechanism of the two in-depth study,to build a logistics industry and regional economic coordinated development of the theoretical framework.The relationship between logistics industry and regional economy is analyzed by empirical analysis method such as unit root test,VAR model,impulse response,variance analysis,congratulation test and Granger causality test.In addition,Self-correlation test and local spatial auto-correlation test to analyze the spatial distribution characteristics of logistics industry in China,and select the spatial measurement model of SAC,SEM and SAR to analyze the impact of logistics industry on regional economy.Third,the research content of the innovation,the use of time series data on the eastern,central,western and northeastern regions of the logistics industry and the coordinated development of regional economic situation,for the actual situation of the region and industrial development characteristics,put forward their own development Path,to promote the logistics industry and the coordinated development of regional economy to provide policy reference and decision-making basis.