A Forecast Study On The Regional Structure And Distribution Of Agriculture In China

The study on the regional structure and distribution of agriculture in China is a fundamental research for making policies, arranging agricultural resources, and to keep China agricultural section running smoothly, healthy and sustainable in tomorrow. The mass numerical forecasting and analyzing works are the key proportion in it.In the past 2 years, a comprehensive agricultural forecasting method was constructed, the reason that led to the uneven of results in different forecasting scales has been found and series methods were employed to resolve it.Based on the methodology study, the China agricultural structure changes of recent years were analyzed; China and her regional structures and distributions of crop planting, animal husbandry, agricultural products, agricultural GDP and rural industry were analyzed and forecasted.With the forecasting work, China regional hot issues of cultivated land area, unit land grain yield potentials and food productive ability in future 30 years were analyzed and forecasted.The coming 10 years will be a key period to China agriculture. Main conflicts in China agricultural sector will appear intensively, and the reforms or changes in agricultural industry and rural secter will affect all of the China society, the report alarmed.