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A Study On The New-Pattern Industrialization And Urbanization Of Central China

Posted on:2012-05-29Degree:DoctorType:Dissertation
Country:ChinaCandidate:Y X XiaoFull Text:PDF
GTID:1119330335455122Subject:Western economics
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16th Party Congress reports:"It is necessary to persist in using IT to propel industrialization, which will, in turn, stimulate IT application, blazing a new trail to industrialization featuring high scientific and technological content, good economic returns,low resources consumption, little environmental pollution and a full display of advantages in human resources." 17th Party Congress reports that New-Pattern Urbanization is "balancing urban and rural development, ensuring rational distirbuion, saving land, providing a full range of functions and getting large cities to help smaller ones. Focusing on increasing the overall carrying capacity of cities, we will form city clusters with mega cities as the core so that they can boost development in other areas and become new poles of economic growth.The main object of this dissertation is Wuhan Urban Agglomeration which is the core of the Central China,discuss the process and path of the New-Parttern Industialization and Urbanization from three aspects:spatial agglomeration, techonology innovation, energy conservation and emission reduction.The main research conclusions of this dissereation are as follows:(1) The factors of New-Parttern Industialization and Urbanization are concluded into the three following aspects:spatial agglomeration index comprises the spatial agglomeration of population and industry, techonology innovation index comprises the human capital stock and informatization level, energy conservation and emission reduction index includes industrial structure and the ecological environment.(2) Through the analysis of environmental Kuznets curve, the dissereationproves that the path of the traditional industrialization and urbanization in China especially in central and western China which are the underdeveloped areas have won't work, the only path they can take is New-Parttern Industialization and Urbanization model. China's central and western regions are still in the poor areas, level of industrialization and urbanization construction far beneath the eastern region. If we continue to implement the eastern region, according to the mode of the eastern region development of the industrialization of path, we will be more to spend more time and higher costs to reach industrialization and environment, and the inflection point new industrialization and urbanization is completed by early by accelerating way realization inflexion point and improves process.(3) Through the new industrialization and urbanization theory analysis and developed countries traditional industrialization and urbanization experiences and lessons, established the three aspects of 28 index new industrialization and urbanization index system is calculated by AHP, the weight of each index, three aspects of weight for space agglomeration index (respectively 0.2900), science and technology innovation indicators (0.3314) and energy saving reduction index (0.3786),28 statures index weight slightly. Each of these layers set of index weight tests were carried out all through the 0.01 consistency inspection.(4) Use Roback (1980) and David Albouy (2009) three equation city value model, analyze the urban amenity value, got two conclusions:Wages can not theoretically determine to the city influence of amenity value is positive or negative, because amenity value from labor costs by the negative and on taxes are effects; Urban amenity value is by the city's economic strength, urban living costs and the city's average salary jointly determined, the city competitiveness and city average salary low city, as long as the cost of living is also low, also can have high amenity value which supply the high average wage and high standard economic development but with higher costs for the cities, more suitable for people to work and live. Through 2008 China 33's main city, we found some data to carry on the calculation of wages and city quality score is not high, but because the city relatively low cost of living, the city amenity value instead be higher, such as Haerbin, Wulumuqi, Changchun and Haikou, etc. Instead some of the city's wages higher quality score, city is no less, but because the cost of living is higher, the city amenity value lower, such as Guangzhou, Nanjing and Hangzhou. And through the contrast of amenity value between Changsha and Wuhan we found existing problems the population that spatial agglomeration in Wuhan.(5) Analyze Wuhan Urban Agglomeration through the location quotient and industrial VDI index calculated by the geography of Wuhan Urban Agglomeration industry concentration and industry are significantly lower than the longitudinal vertical concentration of China's average, in Wuhan the industries except pharmaceutical manufacturing, transportation equipment manufacturing, food manufacturing, instrumentation and culture, office use machinery manufacturing and oil processing, coking and nuclear fuel processing, etc, high longitudinal concentration, other industries are outside show different degree of industrial vertical separation, which indicates that the Wuhan as "1+8" central city, urban agglomeration in most industries and not form a good industrial chain, the link between industrial upstream and downstream enough.(6) According to the data of Wuhan Urban Agglomeration calculated in 2009 about the sptial flow intensity, the results showed that the intensities of Wuhan city of Wuhan Urban Agglomeration of other attractive, megalopolis has an absolute advantage of talent, technology, information and capital flow to Wuhan, making Wuhan mainly with powerful technology R&D and innovation ability. But by contrast the flow intensity of Wuhan and other center cities of urban agglomeration,find that attracted to talents, technology, information and capital due to Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen and other cities more powerful city flow intensity and lost, which is Wuhan science and technology innovation ability, but scientific and technological innovation on economic growth, the main reason enough contribution.(7) Based on Wuhan 1995 to 2009 time series data, the empirical test in Wuhan in recent years and the development of service trade relationship urbanization development because of data meet I(0) process sequence for its smooth, Granger causality test in 0.05 confidence interval LnUrba not accepted LnServ refused, because the LnUrba, LnServ not because of hypothesis, the results show that the service industry development is to improve the level of urbanization, Granger between urbanization is not because of the development of service industry because of Granger. Wuhan city in 1995 to 2009, the service industry development during the urbanization level of Wuhan city drive the improvement of Wuhan city, but the process of urbanization in the development of service industry didn't play a leading role. Measuring conclusions explained below:due to the development of the service industry, attracting more people into Wuhan in Wuhan, in recent years the urbanization level is one of the important reasons for the increase of employment in Wuhan, but into a majority of the population not to enter service department, more not drive the development of Wuhan services, the improvement of urbanization and not in turn drive the further development of the service industry.(8) Based on the new industrialization and urbanization index system, through the industrialization and urbanization and ecological environment in the coupling model in 2007 and 2008 and nine cities of Wuhan city circle 28 index data between industrialization and urbanization and the ecological environment coupling model, and the results show that:the judge of Wuhan city circle overall industrialization and urbanization and the ecological environment belong to coupling coordination area; In addition to the other eight cities Qianjiang industrialization and urbanization and the ecological environment belong to coupling coordination area; Qianjiang industrialization and urbanization and the ecological environment in under the condition of value 0.01 belong to the basic coupling coordination area.
Keywords/Search Tags:New-Pattern Industrialization, New-Pattern Urbanization, Central China, Wuhan Urban Agglomerations
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