The Empirical Research On The Growth Influence Variable Of Automobile Industry

The automobile industry, with the important position and role in many countries, has been used to be an important symbol to measure the national economic development and the development of science and technology level. China's automobile industry has become an important pillar industry in the national economy through the development in recent years. Now, the characteristics of the world automobile industry is strategic shift ,represented by a new type of vehicle market, especially notably China. But, aside from the amount of advantage, enterprise core technology, r&d investment ability, the ability to export etc, automobile industry of China has a large gap with the developed powers such as USA, Japan, Germany.Untill now, China has not formed an influential automobile enterprise in the world. Therefore, China still has a long way from a big automobile country to a powerful country.The characteristics of the industry growth can describe the rules of the industry growth, inner and outer appearance characteristics. On the base of the characteristics of industry growth can explore the unique variables which affect the industry growth, then show how the quantitative variables affect the industry growth, how much impact do the variables do. Due to the economic development of China's own characteristics, determines the birth and development of China's automobile industry different from the advanced capitalist countries.Therfore, the variables which influence the industry growth will have certain representativeness. This paper is to study the idea. This research mainly divided into two parts, world automobile industry growth characteristics, variables which influence the world automobile industry growth, China's automobile industry growth characteristics, variables which influence the China's automobile industry growth.The first part of the paper is the main characteristics of the world automobile industry, variables which influence the world automobile industry growth. The main characteristics of the word automobile industry growth are devided into the characteristic of product, the characteristic of capital, industrial structure characteristics, industry globalization characteristics. In each section for details. Considering the high intensive, high technology, high value of the automobile products, first section first discusses the characteristics of industrial products. Considering the product finally flows into the market, then the section discusses the product market of the world automobile industry. In the second quarter, the mainly characteristic of the capital characteristics is the high capital investment. On the based of this characteristic, then analyze the economy of scale, the absolute superiority and the high cost to entry. The third quarter is the structure characteristics of the automobile industry.This mainly divided into the organization structure and the enterprises'organize activities. Due to the high barriers to entry of automobile industry, the world automobile industry, has become to form a high production concentration, this mainly because of the fiercely merger and reorganization. The four quarter is the globalization characteristics of the world automobile industry. The fourth session is divided into the car production activities of globalization and the events of the organizations of globalization. Overseas production, joint ventures, cooperative production of globalization have become the main form. Based on the above world automobile industry growth characteristics, when choose the variables which influence the world automobile industry mainly choose the economy variabl, market needs, market supply variable. Choose GDP represent economic variables; Per capita GDP, population, represent the market demand, Per capita GDP represents the growth of income; with employee number and investment represent the potential market supply capacity. The above variables as explaining variables, and select the auto production as the explained variable.The second part of China's automobile industry is the main characteristics of China's automobile industry growth, the influence variables which influence China's automobile industry growth .This part is the main part of this paper. Considering the uniqueness of China's automobile industry growth characteristics, the first chapter reviews China's automobile industry growth ,include the trace of China's automobile industry, the development of China's automotive industry, the life cycle of China's automobile industry. Then put forward the structure characteristics of China's automobile industry, the third quarter is the characteristics of the automobile enterprises and products in China.The above 2 is all around Chinese characteristics. The structure characteristics of China's automobile industry mainly show the adjustment of industrial structure of China's automobile industry, then compare the gap between the world's top 10 and China's top 10. The third quarter of China's automobile industry enterprises and product features first discuss the characteristics of the enterprise, is divided into enterprise concentration features and characteristics of enterprise quantity change.Product characteristics, main show the recent changes in the structure of automobile products. Based on the above characteristics of China's automobile industry growth in China's automobile industry growth, when select the effects considering the effect variables from internal and external.Internal affect variables mainly divided into the most basic factors of production and enterprises. The production factors, including technology, capital and labor inputs, choose expenditure represents technology investment, choose year-end worker average balance, net value of fixed assets investment representat the capital and labor inputs. Included, the enterprise variables can be devided into enterprise scale variable and enterprise efficiency. Choose the number of enterprises represent enterprises'scale, choose the total profit and the overall labour productivity on behalf the enterprise efficiency. External variables mainly divided into economic variables, the per capita disposable income, population, foreign investment, foreign trade, resource constraints, selecting GDP (representing the level of the economic development), the per capita disposable income, population, the amount of exports (representing foreign trade), oil and steel demand, the quality of road (representing resources constraint conditions and external index) to reflect. The above variables is explaining variables, select output and automobile industrial output as explained variables.This paper is based on the above research framework. Through the reference documentation, consult statistics, then eventually determine the research of empirical model. According to the research content and purpose, mainly by qualitative and quantitative research methods. In the literature review, the world automobile industry growth characteristics of China's automobile industry, summarizes these three parts, choose the method of qualitative research mainly. On the analysis of the world automobile industry growing influence variables, China's automobile industry growing influence variables (internal and external) these three parts will adopt quantitative research methods. The paper mainly use SPSS correlation analysis method, the ADF stability analysis by EVIEWS, the multivariate linear regression model, EG cointegration analysis, Johansen cointegration test, Granger causality VAR model estimation method, etc. Application software is mainly SPSS15.0 and EVIEWS5.1.Through the world car industry growing influence, the empirical research shows variables, GDP and production of the positive correlation, Per capita GDP and per capita automobile of the positive correlation. The population and automobile production has a positive correlation. Investment and automobile production has a positive correlation. Employees with automobile production quantity has a positive correlation. Based on China's automobile industry growing influence, the empirical research results show that China's automobile industry, a unit of investment input can get more output than a unit by labor input. The number of the enterprises almost have no linear correlation with the total production of automobile industry. The total production of automobile industry has a long-term equilibrium relationship with the total profit, the overall labour productivity. The total production of automobile industry has a long-term equilibrium relationship with the per capita GDP, per capita disposable income, the amount of exports, and the oil, steel demand.