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A Study Of Atmospheric CO2 Spatial-temporal Distribution And Its Influencing Factors In China Based On Satellite Observation

Posted on:2018-04-28Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:N WeiFull Text:PDF
GTID:2321330512981232Subject:Ecology
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Global warming and extreme weather events have gradually been confirmed by lots of scientific studies.Carbon dioxide became one of the most crucial anthropogenic greenhouse gas because of absorbing the long wavelength radiation of the earth.The relationships between CO2 increase and climate change have been paid wide attentions.Therefore,the study of surface measurements,spatial-temporal characteristics,and influence mechanism of CO2 has become an important research field of atmospheric science.Remote sensing of CO2 from space is capable of acquiring global observation data.This paper has focused on atmospheric CO2 concentration of China' s land area.Satellite-based CO2 concentrations from near-surface and mid-troposphere were used.To evaluate CO2 from satellite observation,we compared CO2 from satellite with data from ground-based stations.Then,we analyzed the spatial-temporal characteristics of GOSAT and AIRS satellite data from 2010 to 2012.We compared the differences between near-surface and mid-troposphere CO2.According to the time sequence characteristics of surface CO2,we explored the distribution difference in China by using clustering analysis.Combined with the carbon source-sink,meteorogical conditions and social economic factors,the driving factors of spatial-temporal variation were analyzed.The result of this study may provide more information about the influencing mechanism of CO2 and deepen the recognition for carbon cycle.Major results of this study were as follows:?1?Satellite-based CO2 has showed consistent time fluctuations with ground observation.The amplitude of ground observation was higher than that of satellite observation.Regional background station verification had higher correlation coefficient.The correlation coefficients between GOSAT-CO2,AIRS-CO2 and station CO2 in Waliguan station were 0.85 and 0.59,respectively.GOSAT-CO2 has better sensitivity to concentration changes from surface CO2 emission and absorption compare with AIRS-CO2.?2?The spatial distribution of near-surface and mid-troposphere CO2 concentrations were unveiled in China.The average concentration of near-surface CO2 from 2010 to 2012 was higher in the southeast China than northwest.The highest concentration of near-surface CO2 concentration was 392.37 ppm.There were two centers of high CO2 concentrations in central-China and south Yunnan Province.The latitude zonal distribution showed higher value in the south,maximum peak value appeared on the 29°N parallel circle.On the other hand,mid-troposphere CO2 concentrations were higher in the north as contrary to near-surface concentrations.The highest and lowest concentrations in the mid-troposphere were 393.7 ppm and 389 ppm,respectively.The latitude zonal distribution showed higher value in the north,maximum peak value appeared on the 44° N parallel circle.The study area was devided into 7 subregions with similar near-suface concentration fluctuation characteristic by using clustering analysis.As comparison between Koppen-Geiger climate zones and identified subregion clusters revealed very good spatial overlapping.?3?The temporal variation of near-surface and mid-troposphere CO2 concentrations were unveiled in China.The annual growth rate was about 1.8?2.2 ppm/a.There was a significant seasonal CO2 variation with peak concentration in spring and the lowest concentration in summer for near-surface CO2.The spring-summer CO2 concentration was higher than that of autumn-winter season for mid-troposphere CO2.There were significant time lag effect of AIRS-CO2 because of the vertical atmospheric gas mixing.Temporal variation of typical cities and subregions showed different results due to various environmental factors such as geographical position.?4?Atmospheric CO2 concentrations had significant positive correlation with carbon emissions on a regional scale?R2=0.87,p<0.01?.The temporal variation of near-surface CO2 could be explained by vegetation and temperature,showing negative correlations in most of China.Grading statistic of altitude and CO2 concentration results showed two high-value region in less than 1 km and 1.5-2 km,same with the elevation distribution trend of the population and GDP.Dilution rate was not a statistically significant influence factor of CO2 temporal variation.?5?The quantitative analysis on the relationship between atmospheric CO2 concentrations and various influence factors were investigated based on GWR?Geographically Weighted Regression?analysis.As a result,carbon emissions,vegetation,altitude,temperature,population density,GDP,and dilution rate were contained in GWR model as independent variables.Simulation results of GRW?R2=0.83,p<0.01?were increased comparing to OLS?Ordinary Least Squares?results?R2=0.73,p<0.01?.Consequently,the most universal factors were carbon emissions and vegetation.The influence of temperature,altitude,and social economic factors was also widespread.Effects of dilution rate on CO2 concentration appeared only in autumn.Artificial carbon emissions effect on CO2 concentration showed promoting relationship in east China.
Keywords/Search Tags:atmospheric CO2 concentration, spatial-temporal characteristics, influence factors, clustering analysis, GWR
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