| Socialism with Chinese characteristics has entered a new era and is moving toward the second century goal.Over the past 40 years of reform and opening up,China has transformed from a large agricultural country to a large industrial country,but it also consumes a large amount of fossil energy,and the large amount of carbon dioxide emissions produced has increased the burden on the environment.In the report,it is proposed to advocate green consumption,promote the formation of green low-carbon production and lifestyle,and continue to fight the battle for blue sky,blue water and clean soil.This requires all provinces to actively participate in the formulation of energy-saving and emission reduction policies and measures,and strive to build a "resource-saving and environment-friendly" society.At present,the economic growth rate in the central and western regions of China has been higher than that in the eastern region for many years,and the economic gap between the east and the west has continued to narrow,but this gap was not formed overnight,and the problem of unbalanced and insufficient development in the central and western regions is still relatively prominent,and the revitalized development in the east also has an unstable regional foundation.As a dividing line of population density and natural resources,Hu Line can reflect the asymmetry of development on both sides,which is convenient for studying the coordinated development of regional economy and regional differences of carbon emission.This thesis analyzes the temporal and spatial evolution of carbon emissions on the east and west sides of Hu Line by dividing the country into two parts according to Hu Line,based on carbon emission data from 1999 to 2020,and measuring energy consumption according to the IPCC estimation method,using 30 provinces as the basis of research.A fixed-effects model is used to measure the effects of various factors on carbon emissions in each province,and a panel threshold model partition system is used to discuss the effects of population,urbanization level,R&D investment intensity,tertiary industry share and energy intensity on the east and west sides of Hu Line,respectively,in order to discover the differences and patterns between the effects of different influencing factors and carbon emissions in different regions.At the same time,the spatial and temporal evolution of carbon emissions on the east and west sides of Hu Line is analyzed in terms of time and space by constructing a spatial econometric model to analyze the spatial and temporal evolution of the influencing factors,and then to propose targeted suggestions for carbon emission reduction.The results show that:(1)carbon emissions on the east side of Hu Line keep growing in tandem with the national carbon emissions,and carbon emission intensity changes keep decreasing in tandem,while carbon emissions on the west side of Hu Line keep growing while carbon emission intensity is in a relatively stable state.(2)The R&D investment intensity has a threshold effect on both sides of Hu Line,contributing to the continuous growth of carbon emissions.The industrial structure and energy intensity play a suppressive role on the carbon emissions on the east side of Hu Line,and the urbanization level is the main inhibiting factor for the growth of carbon emissions on the west side of Hu Line.(3)Population,urbanization level,and industrial structure promote the provinces on the eastern side of Hu Line,and have significant spatial spillover effects on carbon emissions from neighboring provinces.Industrial structure and energy intensity have significant promoting effects on the provinces on the west side of Hu Line,and population and R&D investment intensity have significant positive spatial spillover effects on carbon emissions on the west side of Hu Line. |