Research On Spatial Distribution And Residence Intention Of Outflow Population Destinations In Northeast China

Population movement is a complex phenomenon that is prevalent in today's society.The gap between the levels of social development in the region makes the regions invisibly have different pull forces to attract people to move in and the thrust to cause population to move out.Statistics show that by the beginning of 2018,as far as the provinces and districts are concerned,the permanent residents of the Northeast only in the country has decreased compared with 2010,and there are studies predicting that the number of working-age population in Northeast China will continue to decline in 2010-2050.Population changes,especially mechanical changes,have a significant impact on the development of the Northeast region.Under this background,the basic characteristics of the outflow population in Northeast China,the spatial distribution pattern,the willingness to stay outside the province and the willingness to return to their hometowns are explored.The population problem that exists in the region is of great significance.This paper analyzes the spatial distribution pattern of outflow population in the inflow area in Northeast China by using the 2016 national mobile population dynamic monitoring data.The results show that the population of the northeastern region is mainly distributed in the provinces and cities such as Beijing,Tianjin,Hebei,Inner Mongolia,Shandong,Shanghai and Hainan.The distribution pattern has obvious group differences,and the climate has a significant impact on the age structure of the inflow population.On this basis,the author analyzes the willingness to stay in the inflow area and the willingness to return home in the northeast region,as well as the factors affecting the willingness to stay and the willingness to return home.Overall,nearly 70% of the floating population is willing to stay in the inflow area for a long time.From the influencing factors of the willingness to stay,in the economic aspect,the nature of the floating population in the inflowing employment unit,the current nature of housing and the monthly cost of living have a significant impact on their willingness to stay;in the level of the mobile experience,the inflow of the floating population Time,total flow time and flow reasons have a significant impact on the willingness of migrants to stay in the flow experience variables;in terms of social relations,the floating population with medium social relations in the inflowing place has a relatively high willingness to stay.From the influencing factors of the returning willingness of returning home,age has a positive impact on the willingness to return home.In the 20-49 age group,the older the age,the higher the willingness to return home.The economic life factor has a diversified impact on the willingness of the outflow population to return home.The specific performance is as follows:housing expenditure has a negative impact on the willingness of migrants to return home,and migrants with higher housing costs have lower willingness to return home;the nature of existing housing Among them,the floating population of “units,employers,and government-provided houses” has a higher willingness to return home;from the perspective of the total flow time of the floating population,the longer the total floating time of the floating population itself,the lower the willingness to return to the homeland.Based on the above analysis,the author analyzes the spatial distribution characteristics of the willingness to stay.The results show that the spatial distribution of the willingness value of residence does not have a specific correlation with the spatial distribution of the floating population.From the factors affecting the regional differences in the willingness to stay,economic living consumption factors,natural climatic factors,secondary employment contribution and unemployment factors,urban environmental factors and per capita medical facilities level factors have different degrees of influence on the willingness to stay in each region,The occurrence of behavior and the choice of inflow areas are more the result of a combination of factors.