Study Of The Transfer Of Rural Surplus Labor In Anhui Province

The transferring problem of rural surplus labor force is the centre of " threeagricultural problems". Whether rural surplus labor force can be transferred reasonably andorderly will influence the task of the comprehensive construction well-off society and thefuture development of china. During the early years of the Republic, due to historicalreasons, China formed a binary economic structure, where labor force transfer is restrictedstrictly. After reform and opening-up, with more and more rural labor flowing into the city,China’s urbanization is slowly improving.Anhui is a less developed agricultural big province in the central region, and also is atraditional labor output big province, so the issue of labor force transfer is vital to theeconomic development of Anhui. under the guidance of scientific theories–sustainabledevelopment, mathematical economics, management science and system theory, this paperuses a system kinetic method, combine normative research and positive analysis,qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis, to analyze the gap of urban and rural incomeand labor force transfer, and to predict the future migration changes, based on whichcorresponding management countermeasures are put forward.The paper first expounds the research background and the significance, reviews therelated theories, including labor force transfer theory and the theory of system dynamics,introduces the general situation of the rural surplus labor transfer, analyses the historyand the present situation of rural labor transfer in China; then set up the system dynamicsmodel about the rural labor force transfer, sets up equation of each variable and thesimulation, and predicts rural surplus labor force, rural labor average years of educationand average net income. Under system dynamics analysis, this paper built Anhui systemmodel, analyzed the current situation of Anhui rural labor transfer, and discussed the effectof labor transfer and Anhui farmer income and urban residents income resulting from thedifferent local policies. Finally based on the study above, the main conclusion is reached.The innovation of this paper mainly includes the following two parts:First, establish a new model of system dynamics on rural labor force transfer. Rurallabor force education years as a state variable is introduced into the model, making themodel more practical and accurate.Second, present a combined policy to narrow the urban-rural income gap and improvefarmer education years at the same time. This paper creatively introduces auxiliary variable,“Anhui policy strength about local employment of rural workers”, which is an adjustablepolicy parameters. This study shows that the policy effect alone is poor, but if combining it with the admission policy, good regulating effect can be achieved.