Study On Trade Scale And Influencing Factors Of Wood Forest Products Imported From Russia In China

In recent years,in order to comply with the trend of economic globalization and catch up with the wave of international trade liberalization,China has promoted the domestic wood processing industry to constantly improve its technical capacity and processing level,enrich the production types of wood forest products,so as to improve the production and supply capacity of wood processing industry and improve the market structure of wood forest products.Today,China has become a big country in the production,processing and trade of wood forest products,known as the "world wood processing factory".China’s wood processed products occupy an important position in the international market,and the domestic demand for wood raw materials is also expanding.But since 1998,in order to protect the domestic ecological environment,China has introduced many policies and measures to prohibit commercial logging,resulting in the supply of domestic wood raw materials can not meet the needs of the vigorous development of the society,wood enterprises to solve the domestic supply and demand contradiction can only rely on imported wood raw materials for a long time.Russia has rich forest resources and borders on China’s land,which is the import base of China’s wood raw materials.However,due to the impact of the world economic crisis,protectionist policies,global climate change,and the large-scale outbreak of COVID-19,China’s import of Russian wood forest products is experiencing a great test.In this context,it is of great significance to make the trade of wood forest products between the two countries develop more healthily,steadily and sustainably,and to conduct a comprehensive analysis on the influencing factors of the trade scale of Wood forest products imported from China to Russia.Based on the existing research results and theoretical basis,this paper first grasped the status of forest resources in China and Russia,as well as the trade scale and trade structure of China’s import of Russian wood forest products,and put forward the main problems existing in the trade of imported wood forest products.Secondly,taking China’s import volume of Russian wood forest products from 1992 to 2020 as a systematic characteristic variable,the grey correlation analysis method is used to conduct a quantitative analysis on the influencing factors of China’s import volume of Russian wood forest products.It is found that GDP,population size of main importers of wood forest products,forest certified area,domestic supply level and exchange rate of the two countries have a greater impact on the scale of import trade.On this basis,the gravity model was established to carry out regression analysis,and the correlation between the main influencing factors and the scale of China’s import of Russian wood forest products was obtained.It was found that the GDP of the two countries,the population size of the main importer of wood forest products,the difference of forest resource endowment between the two countries and the exchange rate were positively correlated with the scale of import trade.The area of Russian forest certification and whether the two countries belong to WTO and import trade scale is negatively correlated.Finally,based on the qualitative and quantitative analysis results and on the premise of sustainable development,the following feasible countermeasures and suggestions are put forward to optimize the trade scale of Sino-Russian wood forest products: The government should implement the policy of supporting enterprises’ investment in Russia;Improve the punishment system of illegal logging,speed up the pace of forest certification,ensure the sustainability of imported wood,establish and improve the trade information platform;Expand timber import market,expand plantation cultivation area;Promote RMB settlement process and smooth trade settlement channels;Fully understand WTO rules and actively respond to trade barriers.