Study On OD Prediction And Economic Benefit Evaluation Of The Tourism Highway Project Of Nuoshui River To Guangshan Mountain

In traffic volume prediction and economic evaluation is the precondition of investment in transportation construction projects,is to determine the highway construction project,the construction scale,technical indicators and important basis to evaluate project economic benefits of the purpose is to,through data analysis,to advance knowledge of the situation of proposed to carry out the project,the reasonable planning.The results of traffic forecast and economic evaluation will directly affect the investment decision of the project,and also have important guiding significance to the project investment and financing direction.Based on the analysis of the existing highway investment benefit evaluation index system both at home and abroad,on the basis of the project area of influence of transportation present situation and the project to study the function orientation,complete the north river water to the fog creates economic evaluation contents of mountain tourism highway early decision.This article first network status and the impact on the project area,bazhong sichuan province transportation development planning and regional social and economic conditions are analyzed,demonstrates the necessity of the construction of the project.Next,the traffic volume forecast is proposed to construct two large scenic spots in the connection area.First,we will carry out the survey of existing traffic volume in the region.The investigation points were set up in several key sections in the area of the project,and based on the analysis of the traffic investigation,the base year OD table was formed,and the traffic generation and distribution of the area were analyzed.By observing the existing traffic volume and analyzing the existing traffic volume and traffic distribution in the region,the paper points out the problems existing in highway traffic and determines the traffic flow direction.Then,combined with the base year OD matrix,determine method and USES the four stages,based on the trend of type happened to attract traffic volume forecast,traffic trip distribution prediction,trends,traffic distribution,induced traffic volume forecast,tourism traffic volume prediction and forecasting models proportion,got by light road,the road and channel traffic volume forecast results finally.To predict the results for the standard,form the preliminary construction scheme is determined,based on construction scheme,the evaluation of economic benefits,use economic cost-benefit analysis and financial analysis,two methods,the financial expenses,economic benefits were calculated,and sensitivity analysis,loan repayment capacity analysis and financial profitability analysis,put forward,the river water to optical haze mountain tourist highway economic benefit evaluation index system,implementation evaluation operating behavior is in line with the economic benefit of the investment purpose,to the project construction to provide a positive reference value of the theoretical basis.This paper mainly related theoretical knowledge,built for the realization of the north river water to the fog creates high mountain tourism highway provides theory basis for this goal,the text of the theory,model and method have certain theoretical andpractical value,for future reference to traffic prediction and economic evaluation for highway construction projects.