Analysis And Forecast Of Global Nickel Resource Industry Supply And Demand Pattern

Nickel is one of the strategic emerging minerals in China.It plays a very important role in the traditional stainless steel sector,new energy automobile battery and other emerging industries,and is listed as "strategic material" by many countries.China is the world's largest consumer of nickel resources,and domestic nickel resources are scarce,unable to meet the huge domestic demand for resources.At present,China relies on a large number of imports for its nickel mineral resources,which has a high degree of external dependence and a high concentration of resource suppliers,more than 90% of which are from Indonesia and the Philippines.As a result of the contradiction between supply and demand,the external dependence of nickel resources has been maintained at a high level for many years.Under this background,the paper using nickel resources as the research object,through the study and research in the theory of demand for mineral resources prediction,nickel resource development status and trend analysis at home and abroad on the basis of related research,the system research combed the nickel resources of the nature and purpose of global nickel resources reserves the characteristics and distribution,nickel ore deposit types and characteristics,production supply form,smelting,processing method,investigation situation,consumption,trade flow characteristics and historical change price,and so on and so forth.The department demand forecasting method was used to forecast the nickel resource demand in China and the world in 2025 and 2030,focusing on the research and analysis of the trend of stainless steel and new energy automobile battery industry with nickel resource industry concentration,so as to study the evolution trend of nickel resource supply and demand pattern in China.The results show that the nickel resource demand will continue to rise in the future,and the global and Chinese primary nickel resource demand will reach 2.64 million T,1.74 million t,3.98 million t and 2.3 million T by 2025 and 2030,increasing by 18%,35% and 78%,respectively,compared with 2018.Mainly concentrated in the stainless steel sector and battery consumption field,including the traditional field of stainless steel 2025 and 2030 global primary nickel consumption of about 1.6 million t and 1.8 million t,nickel stainless steel scrap recycling of resources is an important supplement in the field of stainless steel,significant technical advantage,but only the European and American developed countries in 2025 and 2030 stainless steel to native of nickel content about 1.32 million t and 1.5 million t;Nickel demand in the new energy automobile industry is exploding.By 2025 and 2030,the proportion of primary nickel consumption in the global and China's new energy automobile battery sector will increase from 5% and 3% in 2018 to 20%,18% and 40% and 29% respectively.The industry pattern of nickel resource demand has changed significantly.This paper analyzes the problems of nickel resource supply in China and puts forward some Suggestions.It is hoped that it will be of great theoretical and practical significance for relevant enterprises and relevant departments in China to formulate nickel resource development and industrial development strategies and provide quantitative reference for the rational allocation of nickel resources,so as to improve the supply level of nickel resources in China and the stable and sustainable development of the country.