Design And Implementation Of Gold Futures Price Trend Risk Control Analysis System

One of the most precious and rare metals as gold, the same is also the common currency. Its value more than the paper money and goods. With the social and economy era of the development, Gold in addition to a person's social symbol of wealth, it is a country's economic market whether can sustainable development's backup force and afford driving force. When the SHFE set up, Is opened the prologue of our country the financial markets evolutionary.Homologous promote and facilitated of our country the gold market and the gold production and processing as well as using industry.Market price volatility is one of the core content of financial economics, research volatility can be a better choice portfolio, analyzing and measuring the degree of risk of its portfolio, thus to effective management and prevention. Implicit in price volatility futures market in a lot of market information through China's gold futures market price volatility for further research so as to provide some reference for better understanding of the gold futures market, which are also for China's futures market further study provides relevant theoretical basis and realistic basis, so that the price volatility of gold futures research for the development of the gold futures market is a very important significance.In this paper analysis of the impact factors for the our country's gold futures, and through the VAR-GARCH model carried out the relevant empirical research for wave characteristics and risk of our country's gold futures, the last base on the ARIMA-GARCH model has analyze and forecast for the price trend.Also through the results for analysis of the empirical has carried on relevant design and optimization of the program and so on thus get conclusion in the end, At the last in this article we combined with the empirical and research came up with some related effective of policy advice, etc.