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An Empirical Study On Rural Informatization And Its Impact Of Rural Economic Growth Of Jiangsu Province

Posted on:2013-11-05Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:W ChengFull Text:PDF
GTID:2269330395986565Subject:Technical Economics and Management
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In2006, our country puts forward building a new socialist countryside goal, throughthe development of rural informatization influence and promote the modernization ofagricultural production, science and technology, rural productivity, activity of rural industry.Rural informatization level rise, will greatly promote the level of the rural economysustained, rapid, healthy development.This paper discuss the rural information construction of the reality of the situation andregional differences about Jiangsu province, and the existing problems, combined with thedata of rural economy, rural informatization and rural economic relations, through theestablishment of informatization evaluation index system, initially through the Delphimethod to determine initial weights, by fuzzy analytic hierarchy process to determine thefinal weight, get the Jiangsu province informatization comprehensive index. During thepast seven years, the informatization level of Jiangsu province gradually increased,although not all aspects of growth, but the overall show a rising trend, informatization inrural is more and more accepted by farmers, to rural development play a key role, at thesame time the various indicators of the growth and development reflects the time lag.Based on the time delay, this paper establishes the rural informatization level asexplanatory variables, and the rural economy as the explained variable lagļ¼Œestablishesautoregressive distribuā€”ted lag mode. Chose to build lag regression model mainly becauseof the study of rural informatization index, between the government investment and thelevel of information, has apparent hysteresis. In reality, the rural economy in theinformation technology under the influence, there will be a lag, not the immediateinfluence.Drew the following conclusions: the rural informatization infrastructure impact on therural economy in the first lag period and the second period, and was positively related, inthe second period the influence is obvious. The popularization of information technologyneeds the support of rural economy, and its impact on rural economy must have certainscale to manifest, the lag period is longer and lag in phase two impact on the ruraleconomy is acceptable. The formation of Rural information industry, suggesting that therural economy has been fully accept information, and into the informatization, the effectsof lag period is short, and at lag two period, as a result of the information industry should become an indispensable factor of rural economy, the dependence of the enhancement, thehysteresis after two time on its effect will also more obvious. Rural informatizationenvironment is a basic element, for the rural economy in Jiangsu Province, is promote therural economy of Jiangsu province external variables, along with the informationizationlevel increases, affected by other factors impact smaller variables, from the equation it canalso be seen from the first period to the second period that the influence is continuous.
Keywords/Search Tags:rural informatization, rural economy, fuzzy analytic hierarchy process, lagregression
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