Study On Ecological Carrying Capacity In Agricultural Region

The study on ecological carrying capacity can provide the analysis of districts development status and direction of the development.This study uses quantization of agricultural sustainable development to study the ecological carrying capacity in long-term .In this study, we take account of the characteristic of Agricultural region to quantize the entire regionv sustainable development and agricultural sustainable development,then analyse the ecological carrying capacity.1 By the analysis to concrete conditions, a indicator system of region sustainable development and indicator system of agricultural sustainable development have been built up through the analysis of region with details from ecology, sociology and economics.2 The results on region sustainable development level and agricultural sustainable development level by AHP were respectively 0.4859 and 0.5564.Both of them are not allowed to be sustainable developement.3 By adjusting the relative index, development models are used to mimic different economical and environmental balancing methods.We analyse the result given by the AHP and count the population quantity and economy scale under the different patterns.4 The ecological carrying state was overload in 2006 based on the analysis of comparison of population quantity and economical scale to the best pattern.