Research On The Contribution Of Science And Technology Input To Economy Growth Of Jilin Province

This paper does a deep research on the relationship between economic growth and scientific and technological input of Jilin Province. It quantitatively estimates the contribution rate of science and technology make to Jilin economic growth. And determines the reasonable method of scientific and technological input by linking the reality of Jilin Province, and puts forward the practical ways and suggestion.Science and technology input is a kind of input about development of science and technology, promoting the application of scientific and technological achievements, technology services and outreach activities ,which made by government departments, enterprises and institutions, social organizations and individuals . It includes cash, information, manpower, equipment and other inputs. However, all the inputs should be supported by the cash investment finally. so, the science and technology input that this paper devoted ,means the cash investment which is called: scientific fund investment.Economy growth means an increase in the total production of goods and services of a national or a region, that is, the more economic output of national economy. It implies the scale expansion and quantity growth of national economic. According to a strict definition of economic analysis, economic growth means: the increased product capacity of commodities and goods in a country or a region, through the increased percentage of gross national product came from the comparing between this period (usually a year) and last period, after deducting the price factor.This paper uses the dynamic modeling method by the dynamic econometric theory, and alternatively uses the information from the economy theory and economy data, to analysis the long—term stability of time series about scientific investment and economy growth, and set up the error correction model reflecting short—term fluctuations and long—term balanced based on the theory of the co—integration theory.About the structure, this paper is divided into five parts and one conclusion. The main chapters are as followsChapter 1: introduction part of this chapter. Mainly explained the background, significance, domestic and international research present condition of the study, also introduced the main contents of this article and the technical route.Chapter 2: introduce the theory about the promotion of scientific investment to economy growth and the evaluation method. Main elements: (1) On the concepts of economic growth and scientific and technological investment: including the composition of scientific investment, and development of economic growth theory. (2) the coming out of the theory that scientific input contributes to economy growth: in 1957. American economist Solow for the first time isolated from the enormous role technological progress makes to the improving of labor productivity, and suggested the method of Calculating the contribution technological progress makes to economic growth which was called"Solow residual value". (3) The mechanism of the contribution of science input to economy growth, first, science input in the promotion of technological progress. Then, technological progress will further promote economic growth. (4) The focus of this chapter, the dynamic econometric approach this paper uses: Including time series, co—integration test, the error correction model, key elements: for a number of time series, although the individual concerned is not stable, but the time sequence of two or more is stable of their linear combination. The co—integration analysis concerned about a group of variables, and they are not stable each, but they drift together. This shift makes the variables have long linear relationship among them. Thus people are able to study the long—term balance relationship among these economic variables. According to the Granger representative theorem, if the numbers of unstable economic variables have co—integration relationship, there must be error correction model to be set up among these variables. Any group with time—series variables that have co—integration relationship with each other will has the error correction mechanism reflecting a short—term regulatory behavior. Chapter 3: analysis the present situation of scientific investment and economic growth in Jilin Province. (1) The economic growth situation in Jilin Province is: economic growth continues to maintain steady and rapid economic growth. GDP expanding, the growth rate is also raised, but compared with the national average level, there is still certain gap; Readjustment of the industrial structure and achieved certain results; economic efficiency has improved, the cost—effectiveness index of industrial enterprises of great scale is continually increasing. Above all the facts mentioned analysis the major problem of the old industrial bases about the economic growth: aggregate economy growth shows inefficient trend, the lower effectiveness problem of industrial increasingly prominent, traditional industries are gradually lost its dominant position, as well as the shortage of funds. Enterprise development does not have staying power, and were heavily burdened. (2) Jilin scientific technological input for the Status and Problems: total funding for science and technology activities sustained grows. However, according to the relative indicators, that is, the province'technology funding share of the gross domestic product, whose strength of input in science and technology is not strong enough. Scientific and technological input sources have increased, but still difficult to adapt to the needs of economic operations; Technology use is not quite reasonable.Chapter 4: do the empirical analysis. Using the dynamic model previously described, set up a dynamic econometric model for Jilin's economic growth and scientific investment, and concludes: there is long—term dynamic balance between economic growth and technology investment, in the short term, the changes in GDP is impact by the changes of itself and the scientific investment, but the short—term impact is not significant. Thus only can a long—term investment in science can effectively promote economic growth of Jilin Province.Chapter 5: policy recommendations. Use the Empirical Analysis conclusions, It proposed to increase the contribution of science and technology make to economic growth policy recommendations with the combination of the present status of Jilin's economic growth and scientific investment. It suggests: the government should increase the strength in science and technology investment, while enterprises should establish a sound system of scientific input, increase R&D investment in order to technology innovation, and investment in science and technology should establish a variety of effective financing channels.Conclusions: aggregate the whole text.From all the above, this paper mainly does a deep research on the theory and application of the contribution oft science and economy input to economy growth of Jilin Province .With the combination of Jilin's actual situation, it propose some practical advice to the scientific and investment in Jilin, wishing to offer feasible programs and information base.