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The Research Of Intellectualized Market Economic Forecasting Supportted System

Posted on:2003-09-16Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:L ShiFull Text:PDF
GTID:2168360065456079Subject:Operational Research and Cybernetics
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With the fast development of market economy and the prick up of competition, especially our country have joined the WTO, leaders in the departments of enterprises and commercials are convinced that it is unfeasible to make decision only by traditional experience. The key factors for a modern enterprise to success are the right and timely forecast and the reliable decision produced thereout. Nowadays, models and methods aiming to forecast and decision have run to the period that is relatively mature, yet the disjoint between researching and applying hasn't been resolved. On the other hand, with the swift development of computer technology, using computer to realize intellectualized forecasting of market economy is the unavoidable trend.At present, the existent forecasting methods are scattered in the books or periodicals. The involving software is also included in the software packages, which are in the forms of pure mathematics. Yet managers of enterprises always put forward the problem to be settled not from mathematical models but from the working need of their enterprises. They are short of full understand of the methods and models and at loose ends. Thus produced the disjoint of applying and theory. The study in the aspect of intellectualized research of Market Economic Forecasting in this paper including:? The system structure of Intellectualized Market Economic Forecasting Supported System (IMEFSS);? The design of IMEFSS' object base;? The express methods and management mechanism of models in the IMEFSS;? The structure of the database sub-system;? Make some analysis on the relationship between subjects and models. The improvement and the innovation of the thesis is given bellow:? Sorting by the forecasting objects not by the models like general forecasting system is the main characteristic, thus it is nearer to the user's need and it has got over the problem of disjoint.? Applying the technique of Data Warehouse and Data Mining to this system to further improve the intellectualized degree of the system.
Keywords/Search Tags:Intellectualization, Market Economy, Forecasting, Base of Object, Base of Model, Database, Data Warehouse, Data Mining.
PDF Full Text Request
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