| With the decrease of absolute poverty population in China,the problem of poverty caused by illness has become increasingly prominent.In view of this change in poverty,this paper regards poverty caused by illness as a risk faced by all residents.Based on the risk theory and poverty theory,referring to the framework and methods of risk vulnerability assessment,and combining with the poverty measurement model,a model suitable for the assessment of poverty caused by illness is constructed.The model is suitable for assessing the vulnerability of residents to poverty caused by illness.Based on the cross-sectional data of 2015,the vulnerability index of poverty caused by illness in China in 2015 is calculated,and then the most obvious difference between urban and rural areas is further analyzed,and the influencing factors that may affect the vulnerability index of Chinese residents are discussed by using the correlation analysis method.Finally,a possible scheme is proposed to apply the results of vulnerability assessment to the minimum living security policy and the allocation policy of funds for major illnesses.From the perspective of research,this paper is different from many poverty vulnerability assessments which only focus on low-income groups.The research object of this paper is extended to all residents,covering a wider range of people,and more suitable for the analysis of poverty caused by illness.From the point of view of research methods,considering poverty caused by illness as a risk requires that research methods should be different from most existing poverty vulnerability studies.Firstly,the vulnerability assessment method in this paper draws on the classical risk vulnerability assessment method of natural science,and of course,also refers to the classical poverty measurement method of social sciences.This paper combines the two methods to construct a more targeted approach.Vulnerability assessment model of poverty caused by illness.Secondly,in order to better depict the complex reality of poverty caused by illness,the scenario analysis method of risk analysis is used for reference,and the specific operational methods such as decision tree and risk response behavior are also integrated.Based on the analysis framework and assessment method of risk vulnerability assessment,the vulnerability assessment model of poverty caused by illness is established.Then the actual vulnerability level of poverty caused by illness is calculated by using the statistical data of urban and rural residents,and the vulnerability characteristics of poverty caused by illness are summarized.As far as data selection is concerned,the significance of selecting cross-sectional data is to ensure that the assessment results can be updated with better timeliness,so as to adapt to the latest needs of vulnerability assessment of residents.The assessment results show that there are still significant urban-rural differences in the disease-induced poverty index of Chinese residents in 2015.Further analysis shows that the differences will vary according to different risk scenarios,different regions and different types of diseases.This can provide a reference for the ongoing unified policy of urban and rural basic medical insurance in China.Further correlation analysis shows that the factors affecting the vulnerability of residents are also very different,and the negative externalities such as air pollution and water pollution affect different groups in different risk scenarios.In the context of major disease risk scenarios,income and savings of urban and rural residents are still the main factors affecting their vulnerability level,while public policies such as medical insurance and public health expenditure have limited impact on the vulnerability of residents.Specific research contents include: Chapter 1 first describes the existence and harmfulness of the problem of poverty caused by illness in reality,as well as the determination and general policy of the government to solve the problem.The second chapter elaborates the theoretical basis and the definition and analysis of the problem.The third chapter is mainly about the construction of the assessment framework of poverty caused by illness,the establishment of vulnerability assessment model,and the decomposition of the specific application of the assessment model combined with a variety of risk scenarios.The fourth chapter includes the empirical evaluation results of the vulnerability of Chinese residents to poverty caused by illness based on the relevant statistical data of provinces and cities,including the overall presentation of the empirical results,descriptive statistics and characteristics induction.The fifth chapter is to make a further detailed analysis of the characteristics of urban-rural differences found by descriptive statistics of vulnerability index in the previous chapter.Chapter 6 is an analysis of the relevant factors that may affect the vulnerability index of residents.Chapter 7 is policy recommendations.The purpose of vulnerability assessment is to serve the government’s relevant relief or prevention policies.Therefore,based on the analysis of the existing medical insurance and relief system in China,this chapter explores the policy reference scheme of vulnerability assessment results.Chapter 8 is a summary of the full text.This chapter highly summarizes the main characteristics of the disease-induced poverty vulnerability index of Chinese residents,the relevant influencing factors and the Enlightenment from it.At the same time,it reflects on the shortcomings of the study,and puts forward expectations for further in-depth exploration of the inspiration from the study. |