Study On Water Control And Collocation Of South-to-North Water Transfer Based On The Theory Of SCM

The theory of supply chain management is introduced into water control and distribution in South-to-North Water Transfer in the thesis. Considering the actual conditions of South-to-North Water Transfer system, using the theories and methods of hydrology, economics, management, random control theory and game theory synthetically, it discusses water control and collocation of the node lake in South-to-North Water Transfer supply chain in theory. Firstly, it takes the first phase project of eastern line of South-to-North Water Transfer as research object and devises the structure of South-to-North Water Transfer supply chain. Secondly, by using theories and methods of applied statistics, it establishes the control model of buffer-demand water of the node lake, discusses the effect of stochastic lead time on buffer-demand water from quantitative angle, and puts forward strategies to control buffer-demand water under different environments. Thirdly, it defines turnover water, analyzes the influencing factors of turnover water, and discusses how to control the "bullwhip effect" in South-to-North Water Transfer supply chain. Fourthly, by introducing VMI theory, it establishes VMI control model of turnover under different circumstances. Fifthly, considering the particularity of water resources, it studies water distribution of the node lake and puts forward different distribution methods according to different water uses, such as adopting the method of reservation to allocate ecological water, adopting the method of population distribution and the principal of preferential acquisition to allocate domestic water of the residents, and adopting the method of market allocation to allocate other water, etc. Finally, supposing the information of water purchasing price is asymmetry for all node areas, it establishes reasonable water distribution model, in order to maximize the profit of the lake and the overall benefit of water resources and to realize the equilibrium of guaranteed rate of water supply.